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Match board · Ligue 1 · 2026-10-17

Estac Troyes v Lens

Estac Troyes
26.9%
Draw
21.7%
Lens
51.5%
Headline value
—
xG 1.4 – 2Estac Troyes form LLLLWLens form WLDLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Florian Thauvinover 0.51.291.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+0.5%
Jeremy Le Douaronover 0.52.011.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-8.1%
Renaud Ripartover 0.51.631.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-10.1%
Abdallah Simaover 0.51.951.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-20.1%
Odsonne Edouardover 0.51.691.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-20.7%
Franjo Ivanovicover 0.51.711.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-24.8%
Florian Sotocaover 0.51.721.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-29.4%
Andrija Bulatovicover 0.54.371.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-31.6%
Mickael Cuisanceover 0.56.071.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-41.4%
Thorgan Hazardover 0.511.621.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-64.7%
Michal Skorasover 0.550.501.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-67.3%
Florian Sotocaover 1.54.621.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-36.2%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultEstac Troyes win3.72—no price—
ResultDraw4.624.04 Betfair · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.1%
ResultLens win1.941.86 10bet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.3%
GoalsOver 4.53.914.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+3.4%
GoalsOver 2.51.511.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+2.9%
GoalsOver 3.52.262.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+2.5%
GoalsOver 5.57.729.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsOver 1.51.171.1875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+1.1%
GoalsOver 6.517.2917.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsOver 7.543.3441.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsOver 8.5120.5967.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsUnder 0.529.9617.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.5%
GoalsUnder 6.51.061.025 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.4%
GoalsUnder 1.56.815.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-4.5%
GoalsUnder 5.51.151.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-5.3%
GoalsUnder 4.51.341.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-5.6%
GoalsUnder 3.51.791.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-7.3%
GoalsUnder 2.52.942.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-7.7%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (65)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Franjo IvanovicAnytime scorer2.30 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Odsonne EdouardAnytime scorer2.30 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Florian ThauvinAnytime scorer2.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Florian SotocaAnytime scorer2.75 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Thorgan HazardAnytime scorer2.75 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Abdallah SimaAnytime scorer2.85 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Renaud RipartAnytime scorer2.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mezian MesloubAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ibrahim TraoreAnytime scorer3.40 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Timothee NkadaAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Amadou DiakiteAnytime scorer4.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Jeremy Le DouaronAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Junior KadileAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kandet DiawaraAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Michal SkorasAnytime scorer4.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mickael CuisanceAnytime scorer4.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Dermane KarimAnytime scorer4.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Andrija BulatovicAnytime scorer5.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Hugo PicardAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Merwan IfnaouiAnytime scorer5.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Yacine TitraouiAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Christ BatolaAnytime scorer6.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Amadou HaidaraAnytime scorer6.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Iron GomisAnytime scorer6.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mathieu UdolAnytime scorer6.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Anis OuzenadjiAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Saud AbdulhamidAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Yacouba KoneAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Antoine MilleAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mouhamed DiopAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nidel CelikAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ruben AguilarAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Jean-Clair TodiboAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kyllian AntonioAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Pierre GaniouAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Roman MurcyAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Idrissa SoukounaAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Jonathan GraditAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Noah DonkorAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Samson BaidooAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Souleymane SagnanAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Alexandre PhiliponeauAnytime scorer9.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Enisio CarneiroAnytime scorer9.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ismael BouraAnytime scorer9.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lassana SimakhaAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lucas MaronnierAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Yvann TitiAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Adrien MonfrayAnytime scorer12.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Junior DiazAnytime scorer12.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Paolo GozziAnytime scorer12.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Florian SotocaAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Florian ThauvinAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Matthieu UdolAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mezian MesloubAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Saud AbdulhamidAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Junior KadileAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ruben AguilarAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Thorgan HazardAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Franjo IvanovicAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nidel CelikAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Abdallah SimaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Dermane KarimAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Odsonne EdouardAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Amadou HaidaraAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Yacouba KoneAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC