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Match board · Ligue 1 · 2026-10-17

Strasbourg v Paris Saint Germain

Strasbourg
12.2%
Draw
15.1%
Paris Saint Germain
72.7%
Headline value
—
xG 1.1 – 2.8Strasbourg form LLDWWParis Saint Germain form WWWLD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Conrad Harderover 0.51.561.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-7.5%
Ousmane Dembeleover 0.51.281.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-7.6%
Ferran Torresover 0.51.321.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-11.7%
Khvicha Kvaratskheliaover 0.51.381.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-12.1%
Desire Doueover 0.51.511.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-14.0%
Sekou Maraover 0.52.241.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-19.1%
Mika Godtsover 0.51.481.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-20.1%
Nuno Mendesover 0.52.401.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-20.2%
Senny Mayuluover 0.51.861.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-26.3%
Dro Fernandezover 0.52.401.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-27.5%
Maghnes Aklioucheover 0.51.801.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-27.8%
Lucas Beraldoover 0.53.231.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-38.3%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultStrasbourg win8.187.50 10bet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.1%
ResultDraw6.645.61 Matchbook · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.8%
ResultParis Saint Germain win1.38—no price—
GoalsOver 4.52.842.875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+0.4%
GoalsOver 5.55.015.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.341.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsOver 8.553.9641.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsOver 1.51.111.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsOver 3.51.831.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 0.549.4034.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 6.59.959.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 9.5145.1551.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 7.522.0317.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsUnder 7.51.051.025 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.1%
GoalsUnder 1.510.088.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsUnder 2.53.953.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsUnder 5.51.251.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsUnder 6.51.111.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.4%
GoalsUnder 4.51.541.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.9%
GoalsUnder 3.52.212.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-4.7%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (62)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Ousmane DembeleAnytime scorer1.80 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ferran TorresAnytime scorer1.909 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Khvicha KvaratskheliaAnytime scorer2.05 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mika GodtsAnytime scorer2.10 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Desire DoueAnytime scorer2.20 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Senny MayuluAnytime scorer2.30 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Maghnes AklioucheAnytime scorer2.38 BetAhoy · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Quentin NdjantouAnytime scorer2.55 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Dro FernandezAnytime scorer3.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Deivid WashingtonAnytime scorer3.30 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ghianny KodiaAnytime scorer3.40 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Jacobo OrtegaAnytime scorer3.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Conrad HarderAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nuno MendesAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Yaya DiemeAnytime scorer3.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Sekou MaraAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Omari KellymanAnytime scorer4.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Joao NevesAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Sebastian NanasiAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Fabian RuizAnytime scorer4.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Achraf HakimiAnytime scorer4.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ferreira VitinhaAnytime scorer4.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Benjamin BrantlindAnytime scorer5.25 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lucas BeraldoAnytime scorer5.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gessime YassineAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Joaquin Martinez GaunaAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Tyrese NoubissieAnytime scorer5.50 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Samuel Amo-AmeyawAnytime scorer5.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Fabio BaldeAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giovanni ReynaAnytime scorer6.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Oliveira MarquinhosAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Pape DiopAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Warren Zaire EmeryAnytime scorer6.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Hernandez LucasAnytime scorer7.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Illia ZabarnyiAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
William PachoAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mateo Del BlancoAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Diogo SousaAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lucas DigneAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Samir El MourabetAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ismael DoukoureAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Genesis AntwiAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Dario EssugoAnytime scorer10.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Maximillian OyedeleAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Jeyland MitchellAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Karim CoulibalyAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lucas HogsbergAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Khvicha KvaratskheliaAssistsover 0.52.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Maghnes AklioucheAssistsover 0.53.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mika GodtsAssistsover 0.53.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ousmane DembeleAssistsover 0.53.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Desire DoueAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nuno MendesAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Achraf HakimiAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lucas DigneAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
VitinhaAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Dro FernandezAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ferran TorresAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Joao NevesAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mateo Del BlancoAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Fabian RuizAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Senny MayuluAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC