xOdds
Also from the team: xPoints, free FPL projections every gameweekOpen xPoints →
Back to Matches
Match board · Ligue 1 · 2026-10-18

Lyon v Nice

Lyon
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
Nice
23.1%
Headline value
—
xG 1.8 – 1.1Lyon form LWDWDNice form WWLDL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 13 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Elye Wahiover 0.51.621.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
+1.7%
Mohamed Amouraover 0.51.761.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-1.1%
Corentin Tolissoover 0.51.571.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-9.8%
Sofiane Diopover 0.52.331.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-15.0%
Lois Opendaover 0.51.531.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-19.3%
Ernest Nuamahover 0.51.671.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-20.3%
Kail Boudacheover 0.52.361.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-26.9%
Pavel Sulcover 0.52.271.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-31.0%
Noah Narteyover 0.52.861.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-31.7%
Keito Nakamuraover 0.52.071.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-39.2%
Abner Viniciusover 0.59.601.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-44.1%
Lois Opendaover 1.53.491.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-25.9%
Keito Nakamuraover 1.57.041.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-43.7%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultLyon win1.861.69 Betfair · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-5.4%
ResultDraw4.324.04 Betfair · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-1.6%
ResultNice win4.335.25 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
+4.1%
GoalsUnder 4.51.201.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
+1.4%
GoalsUnder 3.51.491.5238 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
+1.3%
GoalsUnder 2.52.242.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
+0.1%
GoalsUnder 7.51.011.005 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-0.5%
GoalsUnder 5.51.081.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsUnder 1.54.664.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsUnder 6.51.031.02 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 8.5327.0381.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 7.5101.1751.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 0.51.061.04 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-1.7%
GoalsOver 6.534.8221.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-1.9%
GoalsUnder 0.518.1713.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-2.2%
GoalsOver 5.513.4810.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsOver 4.55.945.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-3.2%
GoalsOver 1.51.271.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsOver 3.53.032.6923 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-4.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.801.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
-4.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (63)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Lois OpendaAnytime scorer2.375 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Pavel SulcAnytime scorer2.625 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Remi HimbertAnytime scorer3.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Ernest NuamahAnytime scorer3.25 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Keito NakamuraAnytime scorer3.30 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Kail BoudacheAnytime scorer3.50 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Corentin TolissoAnytime scorer3.75 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Noah NarteyAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Elye WahiAnytime scorer4.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Mohammed AmouraAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Julien DuranvilleAnytime scorer4.3333 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Sofiane DiopAnytime scorer4.3333 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Gauthier HeinAnytime scorer4.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Khalis MerahAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Abner ViniciusAnytime scorer5.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Djelan MoranaAnytime scorer5.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Mohamed OuedraogoAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Nathan NgoumouAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Zoumana DialloAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Isak JanssonAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Issiaga CamaraAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Hicham BoudaouiAnytime scorer7.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Morgan SansonAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Tanner TessmannAnytime scorer7.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Moussa NiakhateAnytime scorer8.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Ali AbdiAnytime scorer9.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Djibril CoulibalyAnytime scorer9.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Felix BacherAnytime scorer10.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Mads BidstrupAnytime scorer10.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Jonathan ClaussAnytime scorer11.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Nicolas TagliaficoAnytime scorer11.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Tyler MortonAnytime scorer11.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Zachary AthekameAnytime scorer11.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Aboulaye CamaraAnytime scorer12.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Brad Hamilton MantsoungaAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Pereira EvertonAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Salis Abdul SamedAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Ruben KluivertAnytime scorer13.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Antoine MendyAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Axel WitselAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Niels NkounkouAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Youssouf NdayishimiyeAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Clinton MataAnytime scorer19.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Noham KamaraAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Hamza KoutoneAnytime scorer21.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Mohamed AbdelmonemAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Alidu SeiduAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Xavier MandzaAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Noah NarteyAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Remi HimbertAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Corentin TolissoAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Pavel SulcAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Julien DuranvilleAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Kail BoudacheAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Ernest NuamahAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Khalis MerahAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Lois OpendaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Tyler MortonAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Abner ViniciusAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Keito NakamuraAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Clinton MataAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Jonathan ClaussAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC
Djelan MoranaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 12:43 UTC