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Match board · Ligue 1 · 2026-10-17

Lille v Stade Brestois 29

Lille
21.2%
Draw
20.8%
Stade Brestois 29
58%
Headline value
—
xG 1.2 – 2.1Lille form WLWWDStade Brestois 29 form WLLWD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Pathe Mboupover 0.51.351.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+7.4%
Kamory Doumbiaover 0.51.761.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.1%
Mama Baldeover 0.51.951.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-6.6%
Ayase Uedaover 0.51.351.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-8.0%
Ludovic Ajorqueover 0.52.011.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-16.8%
Osame Sahraouiover 0.51.991.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-21.1%
Hakon Arnar Haraldssonover 0.52.361.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-26.9%
Ethan Mbappeover 0.52.361.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-26.9%
Olivier Giroudover 0.52.161.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-37.1%
Maurits Kjaergaardover 0.55.781.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-40.6%
Dilane Bakwaover 0.53.651.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-44.0%
Gaetan Perrinover 0.57.651.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-56.2%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultLille win4.711.81 Matchbook · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-34.0%
ResultDraw4.824.00 Betfred · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-4.2%
ResultStade Brestois 29 win1.72—no price—
GoalsOver 3.52.382.7647 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+5.8%
GoalsOver 4.54.215.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+4.7%
GoalsOver 2.51.561.6842 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+4.7%
GoalsOver 1.51.191.2308 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+2.9%
GoalsOver 5.58.5410.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+1.7%
GoalsOver 6.519.6221.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+0.3%
GoalsOver 7.550.5651.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+0.0%
GoalsOver 8.5144.6881.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.5%
GoalsUnder 0.527.1113.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-4.0%
GoalsUnder 5.51.131.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-5.8%
GoalsUnder 1.56.314.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-6.4%
GoalsUnder 4.51.311.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-7.1%
GoalsUnder 2.52.782.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-9.5%
GoalsUnder 3.51.721.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-9.7%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (59)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Ayase UedaAnytime scorer2.25 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Olivier GiroudAnytime scorer2.38 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Soriba DiaouneAnytime scorer2.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Hakon Arnar HaraldssonAnytime scorer3.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gaetan PerrinAnytime scorer3.15 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ludovic AjorqueAnytime scorer3.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Basar OnalAnytime scorer3.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ethan MbappeAnytime scorer3.75 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Pathe MboupAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Dilane BakwaAnytime scorer3.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Enzo MonchatreAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kamory DoumbiaAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mama BaldeAnytime scorer4.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Maurits KjaergaardAnytime scorer4.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Osame SahraouiAnytime scorer4.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Djylian NGuessanAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giovani VersiniAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ibrahim KanteAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Noah EdjoumaAnytime scorer5.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ngalayel MukauAnytime scorer5.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mathis LaineAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nabil BentalebAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Tiago SantosAnytime scorer6.50 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Benjamin AndreAnytime scorer7.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Romain PerraudAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Isaac CossierAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Joseph NongeAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Maxima GoffiAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Calvin VerdonkAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Loun SrdanovicAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Alexsandro VictorAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lucas TousartAnytime scorer9.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nathan NgoyAnytime scorer9.50 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Tanguy KouassiAnytime scorer9.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kenny LalaAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mamady DiambouAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Raphael Le GuenAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Joris ChotardAnytime scorer10.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Hugo MagnettiAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gautier LlorisAnytime scorer12.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Bradley LockoAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Evan MaillyAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Justin BourgaultAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Luc ZogbeAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gaetan PerrinAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Maurits KjaergaardAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Osame SahraouiAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Basar OnalAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Dilane BakwaAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Hakon Arnar HaraldssonAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Romain PerraudAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ethan MbappeAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Olivier GiroudAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Soriba DiaouneAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Benjamin AndreAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kenny LalaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mathis LaineAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kamory DoumbiaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ludovic AjorqueAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC