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Match board · Ligue 1 · 2026-10-10

Monaco v Toulouse

Monaco
28.4%
Draw
22.3%
Toulouse
49.3%
Headline value
+25.5%
Under 7.5 · Corners
xG 1.4 – 1.9Monaco form WDWWWToulouse form WDLDL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEParis Brunnershots on target (SOT)Void1.6667+24.0%
BESTUnder 7.5Corners4.20now 3.90+25.5%
BESTUnder 8.5Corners2.875now 2.70+25.2%
VALUEUnder 9.5Corners2.10now 2.00+24.4%
VALUEUnder 6.5CornersLost5.25now 6.00+16.5%
VALUEUnder 10.5Corners1.6667now 1.6471+19.1%
VALUECasper TengstedtSOT1.6154now 1.6667+14.9%
VALUEJacen Russell-RoweSOT1.8333now 1.9091+13.5%
VALUEUnder 9.0CornersWon2.2778now 2.2222+16.1%
VALUEUnder 11.5Corners1.4167+14.3%
VALUESantiago HidalgoSOTVoid1.80+14.0%
VALUEUnder 10.0CornersWon1.75now 1.70+14.9%

Player props

SOT · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Paris Brunnerover 0.51.191.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+24.0%
Casper Tengstedtover 0.51.301.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+16.8%
Jacen Russell-Roweover 0.51.471.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+15.6%
Santiago Hidalgoover 0.51.441.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+14.0%
Matthis Ablineover 0.51.912.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.3%
Mika Bierethover 0.51.931.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.7%
Ansu Fatiover 0.51.381.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.5%
Takumi Minaminoover 0.52.071.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-11.7%
Alexandr Golovinover 0.52.051.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-13.7%
Folarin Balogunover 0.51.471.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-13.8%
Stanis Idumbo-Muzamboover 0.52.401.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-27.5%
Folarin Balogunover 1.53.172.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-16.1%
Tackles · 13 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Lamine Camaraover 0.51.061.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.7%
Vandersonover 0.51.051.04 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.0%
Edan Diopover 0.51.141.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-1.1%
Jordan Tezeover 0.51.131.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.1%
Flavio Nazinhoover 0.51.131.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.1%
Niklas Schmidtover 0.51.171.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.5%
Santiago Hidalgoover 0.51.231.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.9%
Denis Zakariaover 0.51.221.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.3%
Sadibou Saneover 0.51.231.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-9.6%
Niko Sigurover 0.51.241.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-12.5%
Aleksandr Golovinover 0.51.351.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-16.2%
Rafik Messaliover 0.51.361.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-18.8%
Thomas Jorgensenover 0.51.361.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-20.6%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultMonaco win3.521.68 Matchbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-31.1%
ResultDraw4.484.33 Matchbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
ResultToulouse win2.035.25 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+30.2%
CornersUnder 7.52.033.90 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+23.7%
CornersUnder 8.51.672.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+23.0%
CornersUnder 9.51.392.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+22.0%
CornersUnder 6.52.816.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+18.9%
CornersUnder 10.51.261.6471 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+18.4%
CornersUnder 9.01.672.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+15.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.181.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+14.3%
CornersUnder 10.01.391.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+13.2%
CornersUnder 12.51.131.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+6.6%
GoalsOver 3.52.382.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.0%
GoalsOver 2.51.561.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.6%
GoalsOver 4.54.214.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.0%
GoalsOver 1.51.191.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.8%
GoalsOver 5.58.549.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsOver 6.519.6217.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsOver 7.550.5636.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsOver 8.5144.6867.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsUnder 0.527.1121.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsUnder 5.51.131.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsUnder 6.51.051.025 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.311.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.7%
GoalsUnder 2.52.782.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.1%
GoalsUnder 1.56.315.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.1%
GoalsUnder 3.51.721.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.1%
CornersOver 12.58.654.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-11.5%
CornersOver 11.56.623.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-17.2%
CornersOver 10.54.792.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-22.6%
CornersOver 6.51.551.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-24.4%
CornersOver 8.52.501.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-26.7%
CornersOver 9.53.571.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-27.6%
CornersOver 7.51.971.2727 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-27.9%
CornersOver 10.04.791.9851 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-29.5%
CornersOver 9.03.571.5556 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-36.3%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (62)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Paris BrunnerAnytime scorer2.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Folarin BalogunAnytime scorer2.25 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Oumar KonateAnytime scorer2.37 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mika BierethAnytime scorer2.51 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Anssumane FatiAnytime scorer2.71 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Matthis AblineAnytime scorer2.75 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Safouane BenzahraAnytime scorer3.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Takumi MinaminoAnytime scorer3.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Stanis Idumbo-MuzamboAnytime scorer3.84 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alexandr GolovinAnytime scorer4.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jacen Russell-RoweAnytime scorer4.14 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Santiago HidalgoAnytime scorer4.20 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Edan DiopAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mathys DetourbetAnytime scorer4.333 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Casper TengstedtAnytime scorer4.72 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Julien VignoloAnytime scorer4.92 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ilyas AziziAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Aymen AmaaouchAnytime scorer5.75 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Sion OppongAnytime scorer6.10 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Denis ZakariaAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pape CabralAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Aron DonnumAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ilane ToureAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mathis SakaAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Samuel NibombeAnytime scorer7.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Thomas JorgensenAnytime scorer7.08 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Niklas SchmidtAnytime scorer7.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Flavio NazinhoAnytime scorer8.50 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Anis SoubeirAnytime scorer9.43 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Eric DierAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Vanderson CamposAnytime scorer10.50 QuinnBet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Cristian Casseres JrAnytime scorer11.30 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Jordan TezeAnytime scorer11.30 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lamine CamaraAnytime scorer11.30 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Rafik MessaliAnytime scorer15.00 Betfred · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Abu FrancisAnytime scorer15.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mathis AmougouAnytime scorer15.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alexis VossahAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mohammed SalisuAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Niko SigurAnytime scorer17.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Christian Mawissa ElebiAnytime scorer18.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Sadibou SaneAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
David OdoguAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ismail DialloAnytime scorer21.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Rasmus NicolaisenAnytime scorer21.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Christ TapeAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mark McKenzieAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Seny KoumbassaAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Safouane BenzahraAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Oumar KonateAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alexandr GolovinAssistsover 0.54.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Matthis AblineAssistsover 0.54.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ilane ToureAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mika BierethAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Paris BrunnerAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Takumi MinaminoAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Edan DiopAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Folarin BalogunAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Anis SoubeirAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Stanis Idumbo-MuzamboAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ansu FatiAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lamine CamaraAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC