xOdds
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Match board · 2026-08-22

Toulouse v Lyon

Toulouse
34.1%
Draw
27%
Lyon
38.9%
Headline value
+14.7%
Corentin Tolisso · SOT
xG 1.2 – 1.3Toulouse form DWWDLLyon form LLWWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUECorentin Tolissoshots on target (SOT)Void1.9091+14.7%

Player props

SOT · 6 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Corentin Tolissoover 0.51.491.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+14.7%
Malick Fofanaover 0.51.591.85 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+8.8%
Yann Gbohoover 0.52.431.92 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-10.9%
Santiago Hidalgoover 0.51.971.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-11.1%
Aron Donnumover 0.52.582.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-11.3%
Jacen Russell-Roweover 0.51.971.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-12.3%
Tackles · 5 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Khalis Merahover 0.51.091.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+1.5%
Mathys de Carvalhoover 0.51.071.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+0.9%
Abu Francisover 0.51.111.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-1.9%
Tyler Mortonover 0.51.201.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-6.7%
Dayann Methalieover 0.51.271.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-12.1%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultToulouse win2.932.69 Matchbook · 2026-08-22 03:13 UTC
-3.0%
ResultDraw3.713.45 Matchbook · 2026-08-22 03:13 UTC
-2.0%
ResultLyon win2.572.80 Matchbook · 2026-08-22 03:13 UTC
+3.2%
CornersUnder 7.53.154.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+6.7%
CornersUnder 6.54.436.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+5.9%
CornersUnder 8.52.382.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+5.6%
CornersOver 12.53.594.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+4.8%
GoalsUnder 2.51.842.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+4.4%
CornersOver 11.52.743.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+4.2%
CornersUnder 9.51.932.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+3.1%
GoalsUnder 3.51.321.375 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+3.0%
GoalsUnder 1.53.483.8889 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+3.0%
GoalsUnder 4.51.121.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+2.5%
GoalsUnder 0.512.1814.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
GoalsUnder 5.51.041.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+0.6%
CornersOver 10.52.312.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-0.2%
GoalsOver 7.5235.4867.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 8.5877.0067.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-1.4%
GoalsOver 6.570.4931.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-1.8%
CornersUnder 10.51.761.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsOver 5.523.8013.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsOver 4.59.196.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-4.5%
GoalsOver 1.51.401.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-5.7%
CornersOver 10.02.292.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-6.3%
CornersOver 9.52.081.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-6.4%
GoalsOver 3.54.133.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-6.5%
GoalsOver 2.52.191.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-6.8%
CornersUnder 11.51.571.4167 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-7.0%
CornersUnder 10.01.951.6923 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-7.8%
CornersOver 8.51.721.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-8.7%
CornersOver 6.51.291.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-9.3%
CornersOver 7.51.461.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-9.5%
CornersUnder 12.51.391.22 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-9.8%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.