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Match board · 2026-08-22

Nice v Lorient

Nice
28.6%
Draw
28%
Lorient
43.4%
Headline value
+16.7%
Lorient win · Result
xG 1 – 1.3Nice form WDDLDLorient form DWDWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUELorient winResultLost3.74+16.7%

Player props

Tackles · 6 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Arthur Avom Ebongover 0.51.081.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+1.5%
Jonathan Claussover 0.51.131.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+0.5%
Antoine Mendyover 0.51.161.125 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-3.0%
Melvin Bardover 0.51.211.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-8.1%
Noah Mbambaover 0.51.631.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-31.0%
Ali Abdiover 0.51.971.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-40.8%
shots on target (SOT) · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Jean-Victor Makengoover 0.52.402.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-3.7%
Terem Moffiover 0.51.631.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-7.9%
Mohamed-Ali Choover 0.52.331.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-9.5%
Victor Orakpoover 0.52.401.85 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-12.3%
Isak Janssonover 0.53.472.375 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-13.3%
Sofiane Diopover 0.52.971.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-20.9%
Tosin Aiyegunover 0.52.671.70 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-21.3%
Joel Mvukaover 0.55.782.25 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-27.1%
Souleymane Fayeover 0.58.842.45 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-29.5%
Morgan Sansonover 0.57.652.20 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-32.4%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultNice win3.492.20 Betfair · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-16.8%
ResultDraw3.583.40 BetVictor · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-1.5%
ResultLorient win2.303.74 Matchbook · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+16.7%
CornersOver 7.51.251.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+5.3%
CornersOver 8.51.451.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+5.1%
GoalsUnder 3.51.251.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+4.9%
GoalsUnder 1.53.023.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+4.5%
GoalsUnder 2.51.681.80 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+4.0%
CornersOver 9.51.821.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+2.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.091.1176 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+2.1%
CornersOver 10.52.352.45 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsUnder 5.51.031.05 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 03:13 UTC
+1.8%
GoalsUnder 0.59.9712.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+1.7%
CornersOver 6.51.141.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
+1.4%
CornersOver 11.53.373.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsOver 7.5386.2767.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-1.2%
CornersOver 12.55.144.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-1.6%
GoalsOver 6.5106.8236.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-1.8%
GoalsOver 5.533.3615.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-3.7%
CornersUnder 11.51.421.3448 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-4.0%
CornersUnder 12.51.241.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-4.1%
GoalsOver 4.511.948.00 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-4.1%
CornersOver 10.02.342.10 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-4.9%
CornersUnder 6.58.405.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-6.3%
GoalsOver 3.54.983.75 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-6.6%
CornersOver 9.01.821.625 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-6.7%
CornersUnder 10.51.741.55 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-7.2%
CornersUnder 9.52.221.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-7.3%
CornersUnder 7.55.073.60 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-8.1%
GoalsOver 2.52.482.0435 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-8.5%
CornersUnder 8.53.202.50 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-8.8%
GoalsOver 1.51.491.30 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 03:13 UTC
-10.0%
CornersUnder 10.02.191.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-16.3%
CornersUnder 9.03.182.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-08-22 09:13 UTC
-16.4%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.