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Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-24

Napoli v AS Roma

Napoli
39%
Draw
21.9%
AS Roma
39%
Headline value
—
xG 1.8 – 1.8Napoli form LLWDWAS Roma form WLDDW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Noa Langover 0.51.791.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
Scott McTominayover 0.51.771.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-3.6%
Rodrigo Moraover 0.51.771.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-7.2%
Paulo Dybalaover 0.51.691.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-12.1%
Donyell Malenover 0.51.331.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-13.8%
Rasmus Hojlundover 0.52.031.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-17.3%
Matias Souleover 0.52.121.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-24.2%
Santiago Castroover 0.52.331.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-28.5%
Antonio Vergaraover 0.54.521.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-35.8%
Lorenzo Pellegriniover 0.54.871.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-43.1%
Donyell Malenover 1.52.471.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-19.5%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultNapoli win2.563.10 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+6.8%
ResultDraw4.563.50 Betfred · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.6%
ResultAS Roma win2.56—no price—
GoalsOver 3.52.063.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+17.7%
GoalsOver 2.51.431.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+17.3%
GoalsOver 4.53.416.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+12.7%
GoalsOver 1.51.141.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+10.5%
GoalsOver 5.56.4213.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+7.9%
GoalsOver 6.513.6526.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+3.5%
GoalsOver 0.51.031.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+2.0%
GoalsOver 7.532.4851.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+1.1%
GoalsUnder 7.51.031.002 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.9%
GoalsUnder 6.51.081.01 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.3%
GoalsUnder 0.536.6011.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.4%
GoalsUnder 5.51.181.04 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-11.7%
GoalsUnder 1.57.963.8125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-13.7%
GoalsUnder 4.51.421.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-16.0%
GoalsUnder 3.51.941.3684 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-21.6%
GoalsUnder 2.53.301.9167 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-21.9%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (57)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Donyell MalenAnytime scorer2.20 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Milton PereyraAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Paulo DybalaAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rasmus HojlundAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Santiago CastroAnytime scorer3.15 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo LuccaAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Matias SouleAnytime scorer3.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Scott McTominayAnytime scorer3.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Antonio VergaraAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
David NeresAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Giovane NascimentoAnytime scorer4.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo MoraAnytime scorer4.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo PellegriniAnytime scorer4.33 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kevin De BruyneAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Noa LangAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Matteo PolitanoAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Andre-Franck AnguissaAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kouadio KoneAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Niccolo PisilliAnytime scorer6.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Bryan CristanteAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Wesley LimaAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Emanuele LulliAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Gianluca ManciniAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Giovanni Di LorenzoAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Marten de RoonAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Devyne RenschAnytime scorer10.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Billy GilmourAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Daniele GhilardiAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Evan NDickaAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Konstantinos KoulierakisAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Leonardo SpinazzolaAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Luca MarianucciAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mario HermosoAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Leonardo BalerdiAnytime scorer11.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Amir RrahmaniAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Benoit BadiashileAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Costantino FavasuliAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nahuel MolinaAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Stanislav LobotkaAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mathias OliveraAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rafa MarinAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Sam BeukemaAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kevin De BruyneAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Paulo DybalaAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
David NeresAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Matias SouleAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Antonio VergaraAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo PellegriniAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo MoraAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Noa LangAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Matteo PolitanoAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Wesley LimaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Donyell MalenAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Emanuele LulliAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Leonardo SpinazzolaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Niccolo PisilliAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Devyne RenschAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC