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Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-24

Lazio v Parma

Lazio
64.1%
Draw
23.2%
Parma
12.7%
Headline value
—
xG 1.7 – 0.6Lazio form WWDWWParma form LWLDL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 9 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Mattia Zaccagniover 0.51.601.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-6.8%
Tijjani Noslinover 0.51.701.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-10.3%
Gustav Isaksenover 0.52.011.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-27.1%
Matteo Cancellieriover 0.52.121.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-27.7%
Davide Frattesiover 0.53.101.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-31.3%
Andrea Pinamontiover 0.52.361.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-37.7%
Kenneth Taylorover 0.54.521.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-39.8%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiruover 0.57.181.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-44.0%
Andrea Pinamontiover 1.59.462.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-37.0%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultLazio win1.561.55 Unibet · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.4%
ResultDraw4.314.00 Betway · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.8%
ResultParma win7.886.50 BetVictor · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.7%
GoalsUnder 1.53.023.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+4.5%
GoalsUnder 2.51.681.8125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+4.4%
GoalsUnder 3.51.251.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+3.0%
GoalsUnder 4.51.091.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+1.6%
GoalsUnder 0.59.9710.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+0.5%
GoalsUnder 5.51.031.0303 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsUnder 6.51.011.0067 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsOver 6.5106.8229.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.5%
GoalsOver 5.533.3615.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-3.7%
GoalsOver 4.511.948.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-4.1%
GoalsOver 0.51.111.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-4.1%
GoalsOver 3.54.983.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-7.0%
GoalsOver 1.51.491.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-8.1%
GoalsOver 2.52.482.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-9.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (62)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Andrea PinamontiAnytime scorer2.20 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Federico SerraAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Gustav IsaksenAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Matteo CancellieriAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Albert GudmundssonAnytime scorer3.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mattia ZaccagniAnytime scorer3.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Tijjani NoslinAnytime scorer3.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Davide FrattesiAnytime scorer3.40 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Adrian PrzyborekAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Fisayo Dele-BashiruAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kenneth TaylorAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
David RomeroAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Simone LontaniAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Matija FriganAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nesta ElphegeAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Danilho DoekhiAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Danilo CataldiAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
El Bilal ToureAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nuno TavaresAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Pontus AlmqvistAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Adrian BernabeAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Diogo LeiteAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Giovanni FabbianAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ousmane DialloAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Reda BelahyaneAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alfonso PedrazaAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Manuel LazzariAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Benjamin CremaschiAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Filipe BordonAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Josip SutaloAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Luca PellegriniAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Oliver ProvstgaardAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Romano FlorianiAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Sascha BritschgiAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Christian OrdonezAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Vincent SierroAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Abdou-Salam KonateAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Franco CarboniAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Emanuele ValeriAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Enrico Del PratoAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lautaro ValentiAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mandela KeitaAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Niakhate NdiayeAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Diego CarlosAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Djibril DialloAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Dominik DrobnicAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mariano TroiloAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nuno TavaresAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kenneth TaylorAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alfonso PedrazaAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Andrea PinamontiAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Gustav IsaksenAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Albert GudmundssonAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Luca PellegriniAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mattia ZaccagniAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Tijjani NoslinAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Federico SerraAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Manuel LazzariAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Davide FrattesiAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Danilho DoekhiAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ousmane DialloAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Romano FlorianiAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC