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Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-25

Inter v Fiorentina

Inter
62.5%
Draw
16.7%
Fiorentina
20.9%
Headline value
—
xG 2.9 – 1.7Inter form WLWDWFiorentina form LLDWL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Franco Mastantuonoover 0.51.671.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-6.9%
Aleksandar Stankovicover 0.52.141.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-7.8%
Betoover 0.52.121.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-10.6%
Federico Dimarcoover 0.52.051.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-11.2%
Hakan Calhanogluover 0.51.901.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-12.5%
Henrikh Mkhitaryanover 0.52.161.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-12.6%
Andy Dioufover 0.52.301.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-16.6%
Marcus Thuramover 0.51.561.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-21.8%
Mateo Pellegrinoover 0.52.861.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-27.0%
Piotr Zielinskiover 0.53.751.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-28.9%
Ange Bonnyover 0.52.811.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-44.4%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultInter win1.60—no price—
ResultDraw6.005.90 Matchbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.3%
ResultFiorentina win4.808.10 10bet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+8.5%
GoalsOver 4.52.053.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+20.1%
GoalsOver 3.51.482.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+19.8%
GoalsOver 5.53.187.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+18.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.191.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+14.5%
GoalsOver 6.55.5012.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+9.9%
CornersOver 11.52.683.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+8.8%
CornersOver 10.52.062.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+8.4%
GoalsOver 1.51.061.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+7.7%
CornersOver 12.53.815.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+6.2%
GoalsOver 7.510.5226.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+5.7%
CornersOver 9.51.862.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+3.8%
GoalsOver 8.522.1951.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+2.5%
GoalsOver 0.51.011.02 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
+1.0%
CornersOver 10.02.062.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.3%
CornersUnder 6.54.594.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.4%
CornersOver 8.51.611.5833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-0.9%
CornersUnder 8.52.652.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-1.1%
CornersUnder 7.53.633.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-1.9%
CornersOver 7.51.381.3448 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-1.9%
GoalsUnder 0.599.4826.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-2.8%
CornersUnder 9.02.652.2778 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-6.1%
CornersUnder 9.52.161.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-6.2%
CornersOver 6.51.281.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-7.5%
GoalsUnder 7.51.111.0125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-8.3%
CornersOver 9.01.861.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-8.7%
GoalsUnder 1.517.776.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-9.8%
CornersUnder 12.51.361.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-10.8%
CornersUnder 10.02.161.7368 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-11.3%
CornersUnder 10.51.941.5882 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-11.4%
CornersUnder 11.51.601.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-12.3%
GoalsUnder 6.51.221.05 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-13.4%
GoalsUnder 2.56.152.90 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-18.2%
GoalsUnder 5.51.461.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-20.3%
GoalsUnder 3.53.071.775 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-23.8%
GoalsUnder 4.51.951.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
-25.6%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (58)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Marcus ThuramAnytime scorer1.91 BetVictor · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Pio EspositoAnytime scorer2.00 Skybet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ange BonnyAnytime scorer2.20 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Mattia MosconiAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Hakan CalhanogluAnytime scorer3.70 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
BetoAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Mateo PellegrinoAnytime scorer4.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Sulayman JallowAnytime scorer4.35 Unibet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Henrikh MkhitaryanAnytime scorer5.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Pedro GoncalvesAnytime scorer5.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Piotr ZielinskiAnytime scorer5.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Nicolo BarellaAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Antonio PirroAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Arthur AttaAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Federico CrociAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Federico DimarcoAnytime scorer6.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Franco MastantuonoAnytime scorer6.00 Skybet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Alieu NjieAnytime scorer6.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Aleksandar StankovicAnytime scorer7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Andy DioufAnytime scorer7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Benjamin PavardAnytime scorer7.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
John StonesAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Luis Henrique de LimaAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Petar SucicAnytime scorer7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Degnand GnontoAnytime scorer7.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Neves Carlos AugustoAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Brando MazzeoAnytime scorer9.00 Skybet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Leonardo BovoAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Cher NdourAnytime scorer10.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Djed SpenceAnytime scorer11.00 Skybet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Nicolo FagioliAnytime scorer11.00 Coral · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Yann Aurel BisseckAnytime scorer11.00 Skybet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Marco BrescianiniAnytime scorer12.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Alejandro JimenezAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Neto Joao MarioAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Alessandro BastoniAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Manuel AkanjiAnytime scorer15.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Christ OulaiAnytime scorer19.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Luca RanieriAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Arnis AdemiAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Dodo dos SantosAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Radu DragusinAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Viery LopesAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Victor ValdepenasAnytime scorer34.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Marin PongracicAnytime scorer41.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Federico DimarcoAssistsover 0.53.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Hakan CalhanogluAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Mattia MosconiAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Petar SucicAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Ange BonnyAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Nicolo BarellaAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Piotr ZielinskiAssistsover 0.54.3529 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Andy DioufAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Marcus ThuramAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Benjamin PavardAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Henrikh MkhitaryanAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Leonardo BovoAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC
Carlos AugustoAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-20 12:43 UTC