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Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-24

Como v Sassuolo

Como
42.9%
Draw
22.5%
Sassuolo
34.6%
Headline value
—
xG 1.8 – 1.6Como form LDLWWSassuolo form LDLWD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 14 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Domenico Berardiover 0.51.481.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
Armand Laurienteover 0.51.901.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-7.2%
Moise Keanover 0.51.241.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-8.5%
Nicolas Pazover 0.51.311.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-17.3%
Anastasios Douvikasover 0.51.491.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-18.7%
Jayden Addaiover 0.51.991.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-23.0%
Sebastiano Espositoover 0.52.581.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-24.9%
Lucas Da Cunhaover 0.52.621.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-25.5%
Assane Diaoover 0.52.031.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-25.7%
Martin Baturinaover 0.52.121.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-27.7%
Jesus Rodriguezover 0.52.541.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-34.0%
Luis Millaover 0.59.601.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-53.2%
Moise Keanover 1.52.061.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-13.4%
Nicolas Pazover 1.52.391.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-29.6%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultComo win2.331.444 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-26.4%
ResultDraw4.445.00 Betfred · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+2.5%
ResultSassuolo win2.897.00 Betfred · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+20.3%
GoalsOver 5.57.728.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
+0.4%
GoalsOver 4.53.913.8667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsUnder 8.51.011.002 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsOver 2.51.511.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsOver 0.51.031.025 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 7.51.021.0125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 8.5120.5951.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 3.52.262.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 1.51.171.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.4%
GoalsOver 6.517.2913.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
GoalsUnder 0.529.9619.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
GoalsUnder 6.51.061.04 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
GoalsUnder 1.56.816.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.0%
GoalsOver 7.543.3423.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.0%
GoalsUnder 3.51.791.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.1%
GoalsUnder 5.51.151.1176 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-2.4%
GoalsUnder 2.52.942.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-3.1%
GoalsUnder 4.51.341.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
-3.4%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (65)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Moise KeanAnytime scorer1.952 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Anastasios DouvikasAnytime scorer2.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nicolas PazAnytime scorer2.20 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Assane DiaoAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jayden AddaiAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jesus RodriguezAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Martin BaturinaAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mattia LiberaliAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Gabriel KullaAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kieron BowieAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lucas Da CunhaAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Sebastiano EspositoAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Domenico BerardiAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Luis MillaAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Maxence CaqueretAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Adrian LahdoAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Armand LaurienteAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Laurs SkjellerupAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Benjamin DominguezAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nicholas PieriniAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Cristian VolpatoAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Kristian ThorstvedtAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Samuele RicciAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alex ValleAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jacobo RamonAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Maximo PerroneAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Vasilije AdzicAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alberto DossenaAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
KaikiAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Darryl BakolaAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Marc-Oliver KempfAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Trevoh ChalobahAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Yan CoutoAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Andrea GhionAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Edoardo GoldanigaAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ivan SmolcicAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Luca LipaniAnytime scorer9.50 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Fali CandeAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ibrahim SulemanaAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Josh DoigAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Simone CinquegranoAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Willy KambwalaAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ignace van der BremptAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jay IdzesAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Cas OdenthalAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Duje Caleta-CarAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Fedde LeysenAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nemanja MaticAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Rafael ObradorAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Sebastian WalukiewiczAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Luis MillaAssistsover 0.52.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Martin BaturinaAssistsover 0.53.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jesus RodriguezAssistsover 0.53.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Nicolas PazAssistsover 0.53.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Yan CoutoAssistsover 0.53.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Assane DiaoAssistsover 0.53.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Moise KeanAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Mattia LiberaliAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Adrian LahdoAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alberto DossenaAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Alex ValleAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Jayden AddaiAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Lucas Da CunhaAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Maxence CaqueretAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC
Ivan SmolcicAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-18 05:43 UTC