xOdds
Also from the team: xPoints, free FPL projections every gameweekOpen xPoints →
Back to Matches
Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-17

Venezia v Napoli

Venezia
26.9%
Draw
21.7%
Napoli
51.5%
Headline value
—
xG 1.4 – 2Venezia form LLLLLNapoli form WDWLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Akor Adamsover 0.51.441.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+0.0%
Kevin De Bruyneover 0.51.601.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.8%
Scott McTominayover 0.51.561.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-7.5%
Noa Langover 0.51.621.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-9.7%
John Yeboahover 0.51.721.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-15.2%
Matteo Politanoover 0.52.161.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-19.0%
Rasmus Hojlundover 0.51.821.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-24.9%
Albion Rrahmaniover 0.54.871.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-39.5%
Antonio Vergaraover 0.53.751.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-40.0%
David Neresover 0.53.751.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-40.0%
Lorenzo Luccaover 0.53.751.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-46.7%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultVenezia win3.724.82 Betfair · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+6.1%
ResultDraw4.624.04 Betfair · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.1%
ResultNapoli win1.941.73 Matchbook · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-6.3%
GoalsOver 3.52.262.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+8.5%
GoalsOver 2.51.511.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+7.2%
GoalsOver 4.53.915.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+6.5%
GoalsOver 1.51.171.2308 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+4.1%
GoalsOver 5.57.7211.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+3.9%
GoalsOver 6.517.2921.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+1.0%
GoalsOver 7.543.3451.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+0.4%
GoalsOver 8.5120.5981.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsUnder 0.529.9613.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-4.3%
GoalsUnder 5.51.151.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-7.1%
GoalsUnder 1.56.814.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-7.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.341.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-8.9%
GoalsUnder 2.52.942.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-11.5%
GoalsUnder 3.51.791.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-11.9%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (63)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Milton PereyraAnytime scorer2.25 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Rasmus HojlundAnytime scorer2.25 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giovane NascimentoAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo LuccaAnytime scorer2.60 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Scott McTominayAnytime scorer2.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Akor AdamsAnytime scorer2.875 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Antonio VergaraAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
David NeresAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kevin De BruyneAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Noa LangAnytime scorer3.25 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Matteo PolitanoAnytime scorer3.60 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Albion RrahmaniAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
John YeboahAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lion LauberbachAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Toni FernandezAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Andre-Franck AnguissaAnytime scorer4.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kike PerezAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gianluca BusioAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kornel LismanAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo BerardiAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Simone PanadaAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giovanni Di LorenzoAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Toma BasicAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Antoine HainautAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Billy GilmourAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lamine DaboAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Leonardo SpinazzolaAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Luca MarianucciAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Richie SagradoAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Simon SohmAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Matteo DagassoAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Thorir HelgasonAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Amir RrahmaniAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Benoit BadiashileAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Costantino FavasuliAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Pasquale MazzocchiAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Stanislav LobotkaAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mathias OliveraAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Rafa MarinAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Rufai MohammedAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Sam BeukemaAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Armel Bella-KotchapAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Joel SchingtienneAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Matias MorenoAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Redouane HalhalAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Thierry CorreiaAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ale GomesAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Juan JesusAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kevin De BruyneAssistsover 0.52.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
David NeresAssistsover 0.53.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Antonio VergaraAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Noa LangAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Matteo PolitanoAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Leonardo SpinazzolaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Andre-Franck AnguissaAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giovane NascimentoAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
John YeboahAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Scott McTominayAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Costantino FavasuliAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giovanni Di LorenzoAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo LuccaAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Milton PereyraAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Rasmus HojlundAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC