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Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-16

Frosinone v Sassuolo

Frosinone
30%
Draw
22.9%
Sassuolo
47%
Headline value
—
xG 1.4 – 1.8Frosinone form LWDWWSassuolo form DLWDW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 8 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Giorgi Kvernadzeover 0.51.691.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-9.9%
Domenico Berardiover 0.51.411.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-12.6%
Kieron Bowieover 0.51.731.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-15.7%
Antonio Raimondoover 0.51.531.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-18.0%
Armand Laurienteover 0.51.701.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-18.0%
Sebastiano Espositoover 0.52.141.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-30.2%
Benjamin Dominguezover 0.52.671.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-31.7%
Fares Ghedjemisover 0.53.391.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-39.7%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultFrosinone win3.332.53 Matchbook · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-9.5%
ResultDraw4.363.75 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.7%
ResultSassuolo win2.132.875 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+12.2%
GoalsUnder 4.51.281.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+0.3%
GoalsUnder 3.51.661.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+0.3%
GoalsUnder 5.51.121.1176 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.0%
GoalsUnder 2.52.632.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.1%
GoalsUnder 1.55.845.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsUnder 6.51.051.04 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsUnder 0.524.5321.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsOver 8.5175.0067.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 7.559.4234.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 1.51.211.1875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 6.522.4117.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.4%
GoalsOver 5.59.498.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.0%
GoalsOver 4.54.564.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.611.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.2%
GoalsOver 3.52.522.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-4.7%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (65)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Tomas BobcekAnytime scorer2.25 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Antonio RaimondoAnytime scorer2.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gabriel KullaAnytime scorer2.55 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Daniel BirligeaAnytime scorer2.60 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kieron BowieAnytime scorer2.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Sebastiano EspositoAnytime scorer2.80 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giorgi KvernadzeAnytime scorer2.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Domenico BerardiAnytime scorer2.95 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Laurs SkjellerupAnytime scorer3.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nicholas PieriniAnytime scorer3.10 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Armand LaurienteAnytime scorer3.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Fares GhedjemisAnytime scorer3.30 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Vasilije AdzicAnytime scorer4.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Benjamin DominguezAnytime scorer4.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kristian ThorstvedtAnytime scorer4.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Seydou FiniAnytime scorer4.33 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Luis HasaAnytime scorer4.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ben KoneAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Francesco GelliAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Romano SchmidAnytime scorer5.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Alessio ZerbinAnytime scorer5.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Darryl BakolaAnytime scorer5.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giacomo CaloAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Luca LipaniAnytime scorer6.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Anouar El AzzouziAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Matteo CichellaAnytime scorer7.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Simone CinquegranoAnytime scorer7.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ibrahim SulemanaAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Andrea GhionAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Patrizio MasiniAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Anthony OyonoAnytime scorer8.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Florian GrillitschAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gabriele BracagliaAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Enzo TchatoAnytime scorer9.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Josh DoigAnytime scorer9.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Rafael ObradorAnytime scorer9.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Wisdom AmeyAnytime scorer9.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Aleksa TerzicAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Duje Caleta-CarAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ignace van der BremptAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Jay IdzesAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nemanja MaticAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Cas OdenthalAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ilario MonterisiAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Omar FayedAnytime scorer11.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giorgio CittadiniAnytime scorer11.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Fedde LeysenAnytime scorer12.00 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gabriele CalvaniAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kevin AkpogumaAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Sebastian WalukiewiczAnytime scorer13.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Domenico BerardiAssistsover 0.53.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Sebastiano EspositoAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Armand LaurienteAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giacomo CaloAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Giorgi KvernadzeAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Simone CinquegranoAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Aleksa TerzicAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Alessio ZerbinAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Daniel BirligeaAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Luis HasaAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Omar FayedAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Romano SchmidAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Seydou FiniAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Tomas BobcekAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Luca LipaniAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC