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Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-17

Bologna v Inter

Bologna
19.5%
Draw
18.8%
Inter
61.7%
Headline value
—
xG 1.3 – 2.4Bologna form WDLDLInter form WDWWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Federico Bernardeschiover 0.51.751.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
Hakan Calhanogluover 0.51.731.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.3%
Artem Dovbykover 0.52.121.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-12.7%
Marcus Thuramover 0.51.511.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-14.0%
Lautaro Martinezover 0.51.541.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-15.0%
Henrikh Mkhitaryanover 0.52.331.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-15.0%
Andy Dioufover 0.53.652.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-22.6%
Piotr Zielinskiover 0.53.231.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-31.0%
Roberto Piccoliover 0.52.971.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-41.4%
Ange Bonnyover 0.53.311.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-46.7%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultBologna win5.135.70 Matchbook · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+2.0%
ResultDraw5.334.23 Matchbook · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-4.9%
ResultInter win1.62—no price—
GoalsOver 3.51.982.65 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+12.8%
GoalsOver 2.51.401.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+11.5%
GoalsOver 4.53.205.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+11.3%
GoalsOver 5.55.8910.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+7.5%
GoalsOver 1.51.131.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+6.6%
GoalsOver 6.512.2221.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+3.4%
GoalsOver 7.528.3841.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+1.1%
GoalsOver 8.572.9881.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+0.1%
GoalsUnder 0.540.4517.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-3.4%
GoalsUnder 1.58.615.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-8.4%
GoalsUnder 5.51.201.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-10.3%
GoalsUnder 4.51.461.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-13.1%
GoalsUnder 2.53.502.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-15.9%
GoalsUnder 3.52.021.5238 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-16.2%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (59)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Lautaro MartinezAnytime scorer2.25 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Marcus ThuramAnytime scorer2.45 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Pio EspositoAnytime scorer2.55 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ange BonnyAnytime scorer2.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mattia MosconiAnytime scorer3.20 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Artem DovbykAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Jay EnemAnytime scorer3.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Hakan CalhanogluAnytime scorer3.90 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Roberto PiccoliAnytime scorer4.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Piotr ZielinskiAnytime scorer4.33 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Curtis JonesAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Federico BernardeschiAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Henrikh MkhitaryanAnytime scorer5.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Aleksandar StankovicAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Federico DimarcoAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Jens OdgaardAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nicolo BarellaAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Andy DioufAnytime scorer5.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Luis Henrique de LimaAnytime scorer5.80 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Petar SucicAnytime scorer6.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Samuel MbangulaAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nicolo CambiaghiAnytime scorer6.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Leonardo BovoAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Neves Carlos AugustoAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
John StonesAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Marco LibraAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Alessandro BastoniAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Tommaso PobegaAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Yann Aurel BisseckAnytime scorer8.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lewis FergusonAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Manuel AkanjiAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Benjamin PavardAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Djed SpenceAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mikel AmondarainAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Oussama El AzzouziAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nadir ZorteaAnytime scorer10.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nikola MoroAnytime scorer11.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Matteo DarmianAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Juan MirandaAnytime scorer12.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nicolo CasaleAnytime scorer13.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Arthur TheateAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Eivind HellandAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo De SilvestriAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Martin VitikAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Rahim AlhassaneAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Torbjorn HeggemAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Federico DimarcoAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Hakan CalhanogluAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Marcus ThuramAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mattia MosconiAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lautaro MartinezAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Petar SucicAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Piotr ZielinskiAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Andy DioufAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ange BonnyAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Carlos AugustoAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Henrikh MkhitaryanAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nicolo BarellaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Leonardo BovoAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC