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Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-17

AS Roma v Genoa

AS Roma
65%
Draw
19.9%
Genoa
15.1%
Headline value
—
xG 2.1 – 0.9AS Roma form DDWWWGenoa form WLDLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Milutin Osmajicover 0.51.802.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+5.5%
Paulo Dybalaover 0.51.531.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-18.0%
Rodrigo Moraover 0.51.801.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-22.3%
Matias Souleover 0.52.031.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-34.0%
Niccolo Pisilliover 0.53.471.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-34.8%
Santiago Castroover 0.52.401.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-41.6%
Devyne Renschover 0.5100.502.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-49.0%
Lorenzo Pellegriniover 0.54.231.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-51.3%
Paulo Dybalaover 1.53.492.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-21.4%
Matias Souleover 1.56.721.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-37.5%
Santiago Castroover 1.59.751.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-42.1%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultAS Roma win1.54—no price—
ResultDraw5.035.02 Matchbook · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.0%
ResultGenoa win6.6211.00 10bet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
+6.0%
GoalsOver 4.55.415.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.6%
GoalsOver 5.511.9211.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsOver 8.5262.9581.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 0.520.0917.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsUnder 1.55.024.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 7.584.0041.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.3%
GoalsOver 6.529.8421.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.4%
GoalsOver 1.51.251.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.7%
GoalsOver 3.52.832.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.8%
GoalsUnder 4.51.231.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.8%
GoalsUnder 3.51.551.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-1.9%
GoalsUnder 2.52.362.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.731.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.3%
GoalsUnder 5.51.091.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
-2.5%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (62)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Donyell MalenAnytime scorer1.70 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Santiago CastroAnytime scorer2.30 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Paulo DybalaAnytime scorer2.45 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Matias SouleAnytime scorer2.65 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo MoraAnytime scorer3.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo PellegriniAnytime scorer3.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Niccolo PisilliAnytime scorer4.35 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Ferreira VitinhaAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Milutin OsmajicAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kouadio KoneAnytime scorer5.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Bryan CristanteAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo ColomboAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Wesley LimaAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Emanuele LulliAnytime scorer6.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gianluca ManciniAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Junior MessiasAnytime scorer6.50 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Marten de RoonAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Devyne RenschAnytime scorer7.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Daniele GhilardiAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Stephan El ShaarawyAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Tommaso BaldanziAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Evan NDickaAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Franz-Ethan MeichtryAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Hamed TraoreAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Konstantinos KoulierakisAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Leonardo BalerdiAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mario HermosoAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Robinho JuniorAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nahuel MolinaAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Samuel WiafeAnytime scorer9.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Djibril SowAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mikael Egill EllertssonAnytime scorer10.50 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Alexsandro AmorimAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Gael LafontAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Leo OstigardAnytime scorer13.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Morten FrendrupAnytime scorer13.00 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
David PuczkaAnytime scorer15.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kingsley EhizibueAnytime scorer16.00 Unibet · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Cody DramehAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Johan VasquezAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lukas KlisysAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mamedi DoucoureAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Marcelo VazAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Mario MitajAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Sebastian OtoaAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Stefano SabelliAnytime scorer17.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Alessandro MarcandalliAnytime scorer21.00 bet365 · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Paulo DybalaAssistsover 0.52.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Matias SouleAssistsover 0.53.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo PellegriniAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo MoraAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Emanuele LulliAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Niccolo PisilliAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Wesley LimaAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Devyne RenschAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Santiago CastroAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Kouadio KoneAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Bryan CristanteAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Evan NDickaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Marten de RoonAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Nahuel MolinaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC
Leonardo BalerdiAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-12 05:43 UTC