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Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-11

Sassuolo v AC Milan

Sassuolo
39.9%
Draw
24.7%
AC Milan
35.4%
Headline value
—
xG 1.5 – 1.4Sassuolo form LWDWLAC Milan form WDDWW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

Tackles · 13 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Darryl Bakolaover 0.51.021.0909 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+6.8%
Diego Moreiraover 0.51.151.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 03:13 UTC
+2.5%
Ibrahim Sulemanaover 0.51.131.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+1.2%
Fikayo Tomoriover 0.51.141.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.0%
Davide Bartesaghiover 0.51.181.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
Strahinja Pavlovicover 0.51.161.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
Nemanja Maticover 0.51.231.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-5.9%
Adrien Rabiotover 0.51.231.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-6.5%
Luca Lipaniover 0.51.241.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-6.7%
Mario Gilaover 0.51.291.125 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-11.7%
Rafael Obradorover 0.51.331.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-12.4%
Simone Cinquegranoover 0.51.411.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-13.6%
Josh Doigover 0.51.381.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-15.0%
shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Domenico Berardiover 0.51.441.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+4.4%
Samuel Chukwuezeover 0.52.142.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
Armand Laurienteover 0.51.731.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-4.2%
Sebastiano Espositoover 0.52.242.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-5.4%
Kieron Bowieover 0.51.901.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-7.2%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinsonover 0.52.331.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-9.5%
Goncalo Ramosover 0.51.631.3448 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-13.0%
Adrien Rabiotover 0.53.472.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 03:13 UTC
-18.8%
Benjamin Dominguezover 0.52.971.87 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-19.8%
Ruben Loftus-Cheekover 0.56.071.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-35.9%
Francesco Camardaover 0.58.201.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-45.7%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultSassuolo win2.514.53 Matchbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+17.8%
ResultDraw4.043.84 Matchbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-1.3%
ResultAC Milan win2.831.88 10bet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-17.8%
CornersUnder 6.52.743.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+7.0%
CornersUnder 7.52.052.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+6.8%
CornersUnder 8.51.641.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+6.3%
CornersUnder 7.02.743.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+6.1%
CornersUnder 8.02.052.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+5.4%
CornersUnder 9.51.401.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+4.9%
CornersUnder 10.51.241.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+4.0%
CornersUnder 9.01.641.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+3.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.141.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+2.3%
CornersUnder 12.51.071.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+1.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.201.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+1.4%
GoalsUnder 3.51.491.5238 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+1.3%
GoalsUnder 5.51.081.0833 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.3%
GoalsUnder 0.518.1719.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.2%
GoalsUnder 2.52.242.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
CornersUnder 10.01.401.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
GoalsUnder 1.54.664.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-0.3%
GoalsOver 8.5327.0381.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
CornersUnder 11.01.241.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 7.5101.1746.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-1.2%
GoalsOver 5.513.4811.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-1.7%
GoalsOver 6.534.8221.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-1.9%
CornersUnder 12.01.141.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-2.0%
GoalsOver 4.55.945.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-2.2%
GoalsOver 1.51.271.2308 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-2.7%
GoalsOver 3.53.032.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsOver 2.51.801.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-3.4%
CornersOver 12.516.078.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-5.5%
CornersOver 10.55.234.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-5.9%
CornersOver 11.58.335.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-6.2%
CornersOver 12.016.078.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-6.3%
CornersOver 9.53.522.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-7.9%
CornersOver 11.08.335.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-8.0%
CornersOver 8.52.562.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-8.5%
CornersOver 10.05.233.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-8.7%
CornersOver 7.51.961.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-8.9%
CornersOver 6.51.571.3684 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-9.5%
CornersOver 9.03.522.625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-9.7%
CornersOver 8.02.561.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-13.3%
CornersOver 7.01.961.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-14.1%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (61)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Matias Goncalo RamosAnytime scorer2.50 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Christian PulisicAnytime scorer2.70 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Francesco CamardaAnytime scorer2.88 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Alphadjo CisseAnytime scorer3.50 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Sebastiano EspositoAnytime scorer3.80 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Gabriel KullaAnytime scorer4.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Kieron BowieAnytime scorer4.00 Skybet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ruben Loftus-CheekAnytime scorer4.20 Unibet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonAnytime scorer4.33 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Armand LaurienteAnytime scorer4.50 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Laurs SkjellerupAnytime scorer4.50 Skybet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Nicholas PieriniAnytime scorer4.50 QuinnBet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Domenico BerardiAnytime scorer4.60 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Alexis SaelemaekersAnytime scorer4.63 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Diego MoreiraAnytime scorer5.00 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Samuel ChukwuezeAnytime scorer5.00 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Adrien RabiotAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Vasilije AdzicAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Benjamin DominguezAnytime scorer6.49 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Christian ComottoAnytime scorer7.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Kristian ThorstvedtAnytime scorer7.27 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ardon JashariAnytime scorer7.50 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Yunus MusahAnytime scorer8.00 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Luka ModricAnytime scorer8.84 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Darryl BakolaAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Filippo TerraccianoAnytime scorer12.00 Betfred · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ibrahim SulemanaAnytime scorer12.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Luca LipaniAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Davide BartesaghiAnytime scorer12.80 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Jay IdzesAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Sankhoun DiawaraAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Pervis EstupinanAnytime scorer15.00 Skybet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Simone CinquegranoAnytime scorer15.00 Betfred · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Andrea GhionAnytime scorer17.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Nemanja MaticAnytime scorer18.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Mario GilaAnytime scorer19.00 Skybet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Strahinja PavlovicAnytime scorer19.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Koni de WinterAnytime scorer20.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Cas OdenthalAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Fedde LeysenAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ignace van der BremptAnytime scorer21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Fikayo TomoriAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Matteo GabbiaAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Duje Caleta-CarAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Rafael ObradorAnytime scorer29.00 Skybet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Josh DoigAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Sebastian WalukiewiczAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Alexis SaelemaekersAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Samuel ChukwuezeAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Diego MoreiraAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Alphadjo CisseAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Armand LaurienteAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Domenico BerardiAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Luka ModricAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ruben Loftus-CheekAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ardon JashariAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Davide BartesaghiAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Francesco CamardaAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Pervis EstupinanAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Sebastiano EspositoAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC