xOdds
Also from the team: xPoints, free FPL projections every gameweekOpen xPoints →
Back to Matches
Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-11

Lazio v Monza

Lazio
34.1%
Draw
23.3%
Monza
42.6%
Headline value
+17.7%
Under 6.5 · Corners
xG 1.5 – 1.7Lazio form WDWWWMonza form WLDLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEUnder 6.5Corners3.80now 4.3333+17.7%
VALUEUnder 7.5Corners2.625now 2.875+14.8%
VALUEUnder 8.5Corners2.00now 2.10+15.3%
VALUEJay Robinsonshots on target (SOT)Void1.9091+17.2%
VALUEUnder 7.0CornersLost3.50+15.4%
VALUEAndrea ColpaniSOTVoid2.00+15.0%
VALUEDany MotaSOT2.00+13.9%

Player props

SOT · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Jay Robinsonover 0.51.441.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+17.2%
Andrea Colpaniover 0.51.542.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+15.0%
Dany Motaover 0.51.562.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+13.9%
Mattia Zaccagniover 0.51.631.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-0.6%
Tijjani Noslinover 0.51.731.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-11.1%
Davide Frattesiover 0.52.711.85 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-17.2%
Matteo Cancellieriover 0.52.161.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-19.0%
Gustav Isaksenover 0.52.191.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-22.1%
Andrea Pinamontiover 0.52.401.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-29.7%
Patrick Cutroneover 0.56.761.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-37.6%
Tackles · 10 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Reda Belahyaneover 0.51.101.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+2.3%
Lorenzo Lucchesiover 0.51.221.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-1.4%
Eddy Kouadioover 0.51.151.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-4.2%
Nuno Tavaresover 0.51.261.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-6.1%
Ebenezer Akinsanmiroover 0.51.211.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-7.2%
Andrea Carboniover 0.51.251.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-8.2%
Matteo Cancellieriover 0.51.361.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-11.3%
Luca Pellegriniover 0.51.401.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-16.2%
Valentin Antovover 0.51.731.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-28.0%
Ricardo Mangasover 0.51.831.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-30.0%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultLazio win2.931.68 Matchbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-25.4%
ResultDraw4.294.04 Matchbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-1.5%
ResultMonza win2.355.80 Matchbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+25.4%
CornersUnder 6.52.274.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+20.9%
CornersUnder 7.51.892.875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+18.1%
CornersUnder 8.51.532.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+17.7%
CornersUnder 7.02.273.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+15.4%
CornersUnder 9.51.351.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+12.3%
CornersUnder 8.01.892.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+11.2%
CornersUnder 9.01.531.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+10.8%
CornersUnder 10.51.241.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+7.5%
GoalsOver 3.52.523.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+7.5%
GoalsOver 2.51.611.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+6.5%
GoalsOver 4.54.566.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+5.3%
CornersUnder 10.01.351.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+5.0%
CornersUnder 12.51.101.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+3.6%
CornersUnder 11.01.241.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+3.1%
GoalsOver 1.51.211.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+2.9%
GoalsOver 5.59.4913.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+2.9%
CornersUnder 11.51.171.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+2.4%
GoalsOver 6.522.4126.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsOver 7.559.4261.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
+0.0%
GoalsOver 8.5175.00101.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-0.4%
CornersUnder 12.01.171.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-1.7%
GoalsUnder 0.524.5315.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsUnder 5.51.121.0714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-3.9%
CornersOver 12.011.257.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-4.4%
CornersOver 12.511.257.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-4.4%
CornersOver 11.57.035.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-5.0%
GoalsUnder 1.55.844.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-6.0%
GoalsUnder 4.51.281.1875 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-6.2%
CornersOver 11.07.034.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-8.0%
GoalsUnder 3.51.661.4545 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-8.5%
GoalsUnder 2.52.632.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-9.6%
CornersOver 10.05.233.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-10.3%
CornersOver 10.55.233.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-11.2%
CornersOver 9.03.882.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-15.9%
CornersOver 9.53.882.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-15.9%
CornersOver 7.52.121.5333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-18.1%
CornersOver 8.52.881.85 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-19.4%
CornersOver 7.02.121.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-19.6%
CornersOver 8.02.881.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-19.9%
CornersOver 6.51.791.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
-21.8%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (69)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Andrea PinamontiAnytime scorer2.78 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Albert GudmundssonAnytime scorer2.88 BOYLE Sports · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Tijjani NoslinAnytime scorer2.90 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Mattia ZaccagniAnytime scorer3.40 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Gustav IsaksenAnytime scorer3.50 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Matteo CancellieriAnytime scorer3.60 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Federico SerraAnytime scorer3.69 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Gustavo VarelaAnytime scorer4.63 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Davide FrattesiAnytime scorer4.75 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Dany MotaAnytime scorer5.02 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Kevin MartinsAnytime scorer5.50 Unibet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Adrian PrzyborekAnytime scorer5.61 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Kenneth TaylorAnytime scorer5.75 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Fisayo Dele-BashiruAnytime scorer5.90 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Patrick CutroneAnytime scorer5.90 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Danilo CataldiAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Keita BaldeAnytime scorer6.00 Unibet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Cyril NgongeAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Omari ForsonAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Patrick CiurriaAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Alfonso PedrazaAnytime scorer8.00 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Jay RobinsonAnytime scorer8.45 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Mathis MoutAnytime scorer9.00 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Manga Foe OndoaAnytime scorer9.23 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Exequiel ZeballosAnytime scorer9.43 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Michael FolorunshoAnytime scorer9.43 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Luca PellegriniAnytime scorer9.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Andrea ColpaniAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ricardo MangasAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Romano FlorianiAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Danilho DoekhiAnytime scorer10.30 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Valerio FarcomeniAnytime scorer10.30 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ebenezer AkinsanmiroAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Manuel LazzariAnytime scorer12.80 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Reda BelahyaneAnytime scorer12.80 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Nuno TavaresAnytime scorer13.30 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Filipe BordonAnytime scorer14.00 QuinnBet · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Ricardo BordonAnytime scorer16.20 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Josip SutaloAnytime scorer17.20 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Leonardo ColomboAnytime scorer17.70 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Jan ZiolkowskiAnytime scorer19.00 bet365 · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Diogo LeiteAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Lorenzo LucchesiAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Oliver ProvstgaardAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Samuele BirindelliAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Adam BakouneAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Andrea CarboniAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Valentin AntovAnytime scorer26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Eddy KouadioAnytime scorer36.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Saba GoglichidzeAnytime scorer36.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Yvan MayeAnytime scorer36.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Albert GudmundssonAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Mattia ZaccagniAssistsover 0.55.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Federico SerraAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Gustav IsaksenAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Alfonso PedrazaAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Luca PellegriniAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Nuno TavaresAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Tijjani NoslinAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Kenneth TaylorAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Valerio FarcomeniAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Kevin MartinsAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Danilo CataldiAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Davide FrattesiAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Manuel LazzariAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Adrian PrzyborekAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 21:13 UTC
Exequiel ZeballosAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 09:13 UTC
Fisayo Dele-BashiruAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 03:13 UTC
Patrick CutroneAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-11 03:13 UTC