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Match board · Serie A · 2026-10-10

Inter v Parma

Inter
80.8%
Draw
12.6%
Parma
6.7%
Headline value
+18.9%
Over 11.5 · Corners
xG 2.8 – 0.7Inter form DWWWWParma form WLDLL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

VALUEOver 11.5Corners3.60now 3.00+18.9%
VALUEOver 10.5Corners2.60now 2.25+18.9%

Player props

Tackles · 14 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Niakhate Ndiayeover 0.51.191.1333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.1%
Hakan Calhanogluover 0.51.251.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.6%
Henrikh Mkhitaryanover 0.51.271.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.0%
Christian Ordonezover 0.51.251.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-7.7%
Alessandro Bastoniover 0.51.261.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-8.3%
Petar Sucicover 0.51.301.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-10.5%
Lautaro Valentiover 0.51.311.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-11.4%
Adrian Bernabeover 0.51.471.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-15.3%
Curtis Jonesover 0.51.351.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-16.2%
Emanuele Valeriover 0.51.511.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-17.3%
Mandela Keitaover 0.51.411.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-18.9%
Sascha Britschgiover 0.51.641.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-23.7%
Carlos Augustoover 0.51.951.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 03:13 UTC
-30.5%
Vincent Sierroover 0.53.161.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-50.2%
shots on target (SOT) · 11 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Henrikh Mkhitaryanover 0.51.831.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.4%
Federico Dimarcoover 0.52.121.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-9.9%
Hakan Calhanogluover 0.51.761.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-12.4%
Andy Dioufover 0.52.972.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-16.4%
Marcus Thuramover 0.51.471.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-16.6%
Piotr Zielinskiover 0.53.102.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-17.7%
Lautaro Martinezover 0.51.441.1176 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-19.9%
Curtis Jonesover 0.53.861.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-32.0%
Ange Bonnyover 0.53.031.3636 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-40.4%
Marcus Thuramover 1.53.171.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-23.0%
Lautaro Martinezover 1.53.001.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-30.3%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultInter win1.24—no price—
ResultDraw7.979.62 Matchbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.2%
ResultParma win14.9923.00 Matchbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.3%
CornersOver 11.52.143.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+13.3%
CornersOver 10.51.742.25 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+12.9%
CornersOver 12.52.854.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+11.3%
CornersOver 10.01.742.10 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+9.7%
CornersOver 11.02.142.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+9.6%
CornersOver 12.02.853.60 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+7.3%
CornersOver 9.51.551.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+7.3%
CornersOver 9.01.551.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+4.5%
CornersOver 8.51.371.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.7%
CornersUnder 6.55.627.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+3.5%
GoalsUnder 2.53.123.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+2.7%
GoalsUnder 1.57.368.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.8%
CornersOver 8.01.371.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.5%
GoalsUnder 3.51.861.9091 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.3%
GoalsUnder 4.51.381.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
CornersUnder 7.05.626.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+1.1%
GoalsUnder 0.533.1241.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsUnder 5.51.171.1667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
+0.1%
CornersUnder 7.54.414.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.1%
CornersOver 7.51.291.2857 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.4%
GoalsUnder 6.51.071.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.7%
GoalsOver 9.5301.6681.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
GoalsOver 8.5101.2851.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsOver 5.57.026.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.4%
GoalsOver 7.537.4019.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-2.6%
GoalsOver 4.53.643.2632 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.2%
GoalsOver 6.515.3210.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsOver 3.52.162.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-3.7%
CornersUnder 8.04.413.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.0%
CornersOver 7.01.291.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.5%
GoalsOver 2.51.471.375 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-4.8%
CornersOver 6.51.221.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-5.3%
CornersUnder 8.53.693.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-6.2%
CornersUnder 9.52.812.20 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-9.9%
CornersUnder 9.03.692.70 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-9.9%
CornersUnder 12.51.541.30 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-12.0%
CornersUnder 11.51.881.4762 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-14.4%
CornersUnder 10.02.812.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-14.4%
CornersUnder 10.52.341.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-14.5%
CornersUnder 11.02.341.6667 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-17.3%
CornersUnder 12.01.881.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
-18.1%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (60)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Lautaro MartinezAnytime scorer1.74 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Marcus ThuramAnytime scorer1.80 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ange BonnyAnytime scorer1.85 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pio EspositoAnytime scorer1.85 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mattia MosconiAnytime scorer2.55 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Hakan CalhanogluAnytime scorer3.30 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Henrikh MkhitaryanAnytime scorer4.33 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Piotr ZielinskiAnytime scorer4.33 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Curtis JonesAnytime scorer4.43 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nicolo BarellaAnytime scorer4.60 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Federico DimarcoAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Petar SucicAnytime scorer5.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
David RomeroAnytime scorer6.00 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Aleksandar StankovicAnytime scorer6.49 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
El Bilal ToureAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Luis Henrique de LimaAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Matija FriganAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nesta ElphegeAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Andy DioufAnytime scorer6.68 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Simone LontaniAnytime scorer6.88 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Neves Carlos AugustoAnytime scorer7.00 Coral · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Pontus AlmqvistAnytime scorer7.50 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
John StonesAnytime scorer8.00 William Hill · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Leonardo BovoAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Thomas de MartisAnytime scorer8.25 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Yann Aurel BisseckAnytime scorer8.25 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Giovanni FabbianAnytime scorer9.82 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Adrian BernabeAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Djed SpenceAnytime scorer10.30 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Alessandro BastoniAnytime scorer10.80 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ousmane DialloAnytime scorer11.80 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Benjamin CremaschiAnytime scorer15.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Christian OrdonezAnytime scorer15.20 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Manuel AkanjiAnytime scorer15.20 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Benjamin PavardAnytime scorer15.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Vincent SierroAnytime scorer17.70 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Emanuele ValeriAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Enrico Del PratoAnytime scorer21.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Abdou-Salam KonateAnytime scorer23.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mandela KeitaAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Sascha BritschgiAnytime scorer23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Franco CarboniAnytime scorer29.00 AK Bets · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lautaro ValentiAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mariano TroiloAnytime scorer31.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Dominik DrobnicAnytime scorer41.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Diego CarlosAnytime scorer46.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Niakhate NdiayeAnytime scorer46.00 Betfair Sportsbook · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Federico DimarcoAssistsover 0.53.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Ange BonnyAssistsover 0.53.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Hakan CalhanogluAssistsover 0.53.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Marcus ThuramAssistsover 0.53.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Mattia MosconiAssistsover 0.53.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Nicolo BarellaAssistsover 0.53.80 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Andy DioufAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Lautaro MartinezAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Petar SucicAssistsover 0.54.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Piotr ZielinskiAssistsover 0.54.40 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Curtis JonesAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Leonardo BovoAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC
Henrikh MkhitaryanAssistsover 0.54.75 Oddschecker · 2026-10-10 09:13 UTC