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Match board · Serie A · 2026-09-19

AS Roma v Inter

AS Roma
40.3%
Draw
23.8%
Inter
35.9%
Headline value
—
xG 1.6 – 1.5AS Roma form WWWWWInter form WWWWD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

Edge is the model's probability minus the price's implied probability, in percentage points.

No standout edges on this fixture.

Player props

shots on target (SOT) · 12 lines
OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
Hakan Calhanogluover 0.52.032.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.7%
Marcus Thuramover 0.51.521.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.5%
Lautaro Martinezover 0.51.551.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-6.8%
Donyell Malenover 0.51.321.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-13.3%
Rodrigo Moraover 0.51.991.5714 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-13.3%
Paulo Dybalaover 0.51.771.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-15.0%
Piotr Zielinskiover 0.53.312.15 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-16.3%
Niccolo Pisilliover 0.53.312.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-17.4%
Matias Souleover 0.52.331.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-26.4%
Ange Bonnyover 0.52.971.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-33.0%
Santiago Castroover 0.52.921.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-34.9%
Donyell Malenover 1.52.431.65 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-19.4%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edgeat latest price
ResultAS Roma win2.48—no price—
ResultDraw4.203.60 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.0%
ResultInter win2.78—no price—
CornersOver 9.51.882.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+8.7%
CornersOver 8.51.561.7692 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+7.8%
CornersOver 10.52.603.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+6.2%
CornersOver 11.53.434.3333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+6.1%
CornersOver 6.51.171.2308 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+4.0%
CornersOver 7.51.391.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+2.6%
GoalsOver 4.54.965.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+2.0%
GoalsOver 1.51.231.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
+1.5%
GoalsOver 3.52.672.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.1%
GoalsOver 2.51.671.70 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+1.1%
GoalsOver 5.510.6011.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.3%
GoalsOver 6.525.7726.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
+0.0%
GoalsOver 7.570.3651.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-0.5%
GoalsOver 8.5213.5367.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-1.0%
GoalsUnder 3.51.601.5238 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.1%
GoalsUnder 0.522.2013.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.2%
GoalsUnder 1.55.414.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.3%
GoalsUnder 4.51.251.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsUnder 5.51.101.0625 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsUnder 2.52.492.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-4.3%
CornersUnder 7.53.542.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-7.5%
CornersUnder 6.56.794.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-9.1%
CornersUnder 10.51.621.3684 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-11.5%
CornersUnder 11.51.411.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-12.5%
CornersUnder 8.52.802.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-13.1%
CornersUnder 9.52.131.6154 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
-15.0%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (60)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Donyell MalenAnytime scorer2.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Lautaro MartinezAnytime scorer2.65 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Antonio ArenaAnytime scorer2.80 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marcus ThuramAnytime scorer3.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Pio EspositoAnytime scorer3.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Santiago CastroAnytime scorer3.10 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Paulo DybalaAnytime scorer3.25 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ange BonnyAnytime scorer3.30 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Matias SouleAnytime scorer4.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo MoraAnytime scorer4.20 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo PellegriniAnytime scorer4.33 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Hakan CalhanogluAnytime scorer4.75 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Piotr ZielinskiAnytime scorer5.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Niccolo PisilliAnytime scorer6.20 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Federico DimarcoAnytime scorer6.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Aleksandar StankovicAnytime scorer7.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Andy DioufAnytime scorer7.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Bryan CristanteAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Henrikh MkhitaryanAnytime scorer7.50 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Luis Henrique de LimaAnytime scorer7.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nicolo BarellaAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Petar SucicAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Wesley LimaAnytime scorer7.50 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Curtis JonesAnytime scorer8.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Kouadio KoneAnytime scorer8.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Neves Carlos AugustoAnytime scorer9.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Devyne RenschAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Gianluca ManciniAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Mario HermosoAnytime scorer10.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marten de RoonAnytime scorer10.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Yann Aurel BisseckAnytime scorer10.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Alessandro BastoniAnytime scorer10.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Konstantinos KoulierakisAnytime scorer10.50 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Evan NDickaAnytime scorer11.00 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
John StonesAnytime scorer11.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Benjamin PavardAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Daniele GhilardiAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Djed SpenceAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Emanuele LulliAnytime scorer12.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nahuel MolinaAnytime scorer12.00 bet365 · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Leonardo BalerdiAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Manuel AkanjiAnytime scorer13.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Paulo DybalaAssistsover 0.54.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Federico DimarcoAssistsover 0.54.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Lorenzo PellegriniAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Luis Henrique de LimaAssistsover 0.55.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Lautaro MartinezAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Matias SouleAssistsover 0.55.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Hakan CalhanogluAssistsover 0.55.75 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Ange BonnyAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Petar SucicAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Piotr ZielinskiAssistsover 0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Emanuele LulliAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Pio EspositoAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-14 05:43 UTC
Rodrigo MoraAssistsover 0.56.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Marcus ThuramAssistsover 0.57.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Nicolo BarellaAssistsover 0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Antonio ArenaAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Donyell MalenAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC
Santiago CastroAssistsover 0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-15 05:43 UTC