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Match board · 2026-09-12

Lazio v AC Milan

Lazio
34.1%
Draw
27%
AC Milan
38.9%
Headline value
+12.9%
Under 6.5 · Corners
xG 1.2 – 1.3Lazio form WWWWLAC Milan form DWWWL

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). Win-market prices are the best per-book captures, book named, latest snapshot — edge shown where a price exists.

Fractional is approximate; decimal is the price we published.Odds

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥12.5%

VALUEUnder 6.5Corners4.00now 4.20+12.9%

Player props

Tackles · 11 lines
Strahinja Pavlovic o0.51.091.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+4.2%
Fikayo Tomori o0.51.101.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+3.2%
Reda Belahyane o0.51.111.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+2.7%
Alfonso Pedraza o0.51.241.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 03:13 UTC
-2.9%
Adrien Rabiot o0.51.201.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-3.9%
Matteo Cancellieri o0.51.271.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 03:13 UTC
-4.3%
Diego Moreira o0.51.201.1429 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-4.4%
Pervis Estupinan o0.51.351.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-10.5%
Alexis Saelemaekers o0.51.311.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-13.9%
Nuno Tavares o0.51.401.1538 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-15.3%
Mario Gila o0.51.571.1818 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-21.0%
SOT · 9 lines
Goncalo Ramos o0.51.441.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+2.9%
Samuel Chukwueze o0.52.142.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-0.9%
Mattia Zaccagni o0.52.072.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.7%
Diego Moreira o0.52.922.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-5.7%
Tijjani Noslin o0.52.332.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-7.1%
Matteo Cancellieri o0.52.121.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-8.3%
Gustav Isaksen o0.52.191.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-12.2%
Andrea Pinamonti o0.52.621.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-17.4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek o0.55.522.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-30.6%

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edge
ResultLazio win2.933.94 Matchbook · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+8.8%
ResultDraw3.713.30 BetVictor · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-3.3%
ResultAC Milan win2.572.20 IvyBet · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-6.6%
CornersUnder 6.52.644.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+14.1%
CornersUnder 8.51.682.05 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+10.8%
CornersUnder 7.02.693.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+8.6%
CornersUnder 7.52.282.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+8.2%
CornersUnder 9.51.481.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+5.2%
CornersUnder 9.01.671.80 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+4.4%
CornersUnder 8.02.262.40 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+2.7%
CornersUnder 10.51.311.35 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+2.5%
CornersUnder 12.51.091.1111 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+1.9%
CornersUnder 11.51.191.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+1.0%
GoalsOver 2.52.192.2222 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+0.6%
GoalsOver 3.54.134.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+0.4%
GoalsOver 4.59.199.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
+0.4%
GoalsOver 6.570.4946.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-0.8%
GoalsOver 5.523.8019.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 7.5235.4867.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.1%
GoalsOver 8.5877.0067.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.4%
GoalsUnder 0.512.1810.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.8%
GoalsUnder 4.51.121.10 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.8%
CornersUnder 10.01.481.4444 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-1.9%
CornersUnder 11.01.291.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-2.5%
GoalsUnder 1.53.483.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-2.5%
GoalsUnder 2.51.841.7273 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-3.5%
CornersOver 11.56.375.20 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-3.5%
GoalsUnder 3.51.321.25 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-4.2%
CornersOver 10.54.263.60 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-4.3%
CornersOver 11.06.495.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-4.6%
CornersOver 12.011.687.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-4.8%
CornersOver 12.512.307.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-5.2%
CornersUnder 12.01.201.125 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-5.3%
CornersOver 10.04.303.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-5.3%
CornersOver 9.53.092.55 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-6.9%
CornersOver 9.03.092.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-7.7%
CornersOver 7.51.781.55 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-8.4%
CornersOver 7.01.781.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-10.4%
CornersOver 8.52.471.875 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-12.9%
CornersOver 8.02.441.8333 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-13.6%
CornersOver 6.51.611.30 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
-14.8%
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.
Captured goalscorer & assist prices (65)

Not picks. These are prices we captured on the shelf, shown at the book and the moment we took them. We do not publish a model number for these markets, so nothing here is ranked, rated or recommended.

Matias Goncalo RamosAnytime scorer3.06 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Christian PulisicAnytime scorer3.35 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Francesco CamardaAnytime scorer3.75 BetMGM UK · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alphadjo CisseAnytime scorer4.43 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Ruben Loftus-CheekAnytime scorer4.60 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Andrea PinamontiAnytime scorer4.63 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Gustav IsaksenAnytime scorer5.21 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Matteo CancellieriAnytime scorer5.25 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Tijjani NoslinAnytime scorer5.41 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Albert GudmundssonAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Samuel ChukwuezeAnytime scorer5.50 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Adrien RabiotAnytime scorer5.61 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Mattia ZaccagniAnytime scorer5.70 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Federico SerraAnytime scorer6.10 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alexis SaelemaekersAnytime scorer6.50 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Davide FrattesiAnytime scorer7.08 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Diego MoreiraAnytime scorer7.50 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Adrian PrzyborekAnytime scorer8.06 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Kenneth TaylorAnytime scorer8.06 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Christian ComottoAnytime scorer9.00 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Ardon JashariAnytime scorer9.50 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Luka ModricAnytime scorer9.62 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Yunus MusahAnytime scorer10.00 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Danilo CataldiAnytime scorer10.50 BetVictor · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Nicolo RovellaAnytime scorer11.50 BetVictor · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Davide BartesaghiAnytime scorer12.00 Coral · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Fisayo Dele-BashiruAnytime scorer12.30 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Filippo TerraccianoAnytime scorer13.00 Betfred · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Strahinja PavlovicAnytime scorer13.00 Unibet · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Pervis EstupinanAnytime scorer14.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Gabarron Patric GilAnytime scorer17.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Luca PellegriniAnytime scorer17.00 AK Bets · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Danilho DoekhiAnytime scorer17.70 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Valerio FarcomeniAnytime scorer18.10 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Adam MarusicAnytime scorer18.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alfonso PedrazaAnytime scorer18.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Nuno TavaresAnytime scorer18.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Manuel LazzariAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Reda BelahyaneAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Romano FlorianiAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Sankhoun DiawaraAnytime scorer19.60 Betfair · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Josip SutaloAnytime scorer21.00 Betfred · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Ricardo BordonAnytime scorer21.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alessio RomagnoliAnytime scorer23.00 Betfred · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Filipe BordonAnytime scorer23.00 Betfred · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Koni de WinterAnytime scorer23.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Mario GilaAnytime scorer23.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Fikayo TomoriAnytime scorer26.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Matteo GabbiaAnytime scorer26.00 BetVictor · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Oliver ProvstgaardAnytime scorer31.00 Paddy Power · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonAssistso0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Samuel ChukwuezeAssistso0.56.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alexis SaelemaekersAssistso0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Alphadjo CisseAssistso0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Luka ModricAssistso0.57.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Adrien RabiotAssistso0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Diego MoreiraAssistso0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Francesco CamardaAssistso0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Gustav IsaksenAssistso0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Mattia ZaccagniAssistso0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Nuno TavaresAssistso0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Tijjani NoslinAssistso0.58.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Federico SerraAssistso0.58.50 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC
Goncalo RamosAssistso0.59.00 Oddschecker · 2026-09-12 09:13 UTC