xOdds
World Cup · Match board

Mexico v Ecuador

Mexico
26.9%
Draw
27%
Ecuador
46.1%
Headline value
+30.4%
Enner Valencia · SOT
xG 11.4Mexico form LWEcuador form LWDDD

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). No match-result price captured — edge shown where a price exists.

← Classic projections view

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edge
CornersUnder 6.51.933.10 Oddschecker
+19.5%
CornersUnder 7.01.952.88 Oddschecker
+16.5%
CornersUnder 8.51.381.73 Oddschecker
+14.8%
CornersUnder 7.51.702.20 Oddschecker
+13.3%
CornersUnder 8.01.692.10 Oddschecker
+11.5%
CornersUnder 9.01.361.62 Oddschecker
+11.4%
CornersUnder 9.51.251.45 Oddschecker
+11.0%
GoalsOver 2.52.323.10 Oddschecker
+10.8%
CornersUnder 10.51.141.27 Oddschecker
+9.1%
GoalsOver 3.54.526.50 Oddschecker
+6.7%
CornersUnder 11.51.081.14 Oddschecker
+5.4%
CornersUnder 10.01.251.33 Oddschecker
+4.9%
CornersUnder 12.51.031.07 Oddschecker
+3.3%
GoalsOver 4.510.4315.00 Oddschecker
+2.9%
CornersUnder 12.01.061.08 Oddschecker
+1.8%
CornersUnder 11.01.141.17 Oddschecker
+1.7%
GoalsOver 5.528.0336.00 Oddschecker
+0.8%
GoalsOver 6.586.2581.00 Oddschecker
-0.1%
GoalsOver 7.5299.5367.00 Oddschecker
-1.2%
CornersOver 12.530.0313.00 Oddschecker
-4.4%
CornersOver 12.031.0613.00 Oddschecker
-4.5%
GoalsUnder 0.511.027.00 Oddschecker
-5.2%
CornersOver 11.514.048.00 Oddschecker
-5.4%
CornersOver 10.58.135.50 Oddschecker
-5.9%
CornersOver 11.015.158.00 Oddschecker
-5.9%
CornersOver 9.54.943.75 Oddschecker
-6.4%
GoalsUnder 3.51.281.17 Oddschecker
-7.8%
CornersOver 9.04.843.50 Oddschecker
-7.9%
CornersOver 10.08.515.00 Oddschecker
-8.3%
GoalsUnder 1.53.242.50 Oddschecker
-9.2%
GoalsUnder 2.51.761.48 Oddschecker
-10.8%
CornersOver 8.53.662.60 Oddschecker
-11.1%
CornersOver 7.52.431.91 Oddschecker
-11.2%
CornersOver 7.02.431.83 Oddschecker
-13.4%
CornersOver 8.03.672.40 Oddschecker
-14.4%
CornersOver 6.52.071.53 Oddschecker
-17.0%
ResultMexico win3.72 no price
ResultDraw3.71 no price
ResultEcuador win2.17 no price
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.

Player props

SOT · 5 lines
Enner Valencia o0.51.161.80 Oddschecker
+30.4%
Julian Quinones o0.51.371.60 Oddschecker
+10.3%
Kevin Rodriguez o0.51.831.90 Oddschecker
+2.0%
Santiago Gimenez o0.51.701.62 Oddschecker
-3.0%
Raul Jimenez o0.51.801.48 Oddschecker
-12.2%
Tackles · 17 lines
Pedro Vite o0.51.011.07 Oddschecker
+5.3%
Gonzalo Plata o0.51.081.10 Oddschecker
+1.4%
Obed Vargas o0.51.081.09 Oddschecker
+1.2%
Edson Alvarez o0.51.081.08 Oddschecker
+0.6%
Orbelin Pineda o0.51.091.08 Oddschecker
-0.9%
Luis Romo o0.51.091.07 Oddschecker
-1.8%
Piero Hincapie o0.51.101.06 Oddschecker
-3.5%
Moises Caicedo o0.51.101.03 Oddschecker
-6.3%
Jorge Sanchez o0.51.201.07 Oddschecker
-10.2%
Pervis Estupinan o0.51.241.10 Oddschecker
-10.5%
Luis Chavez o0.51.241.08 Oddschecker
-11.5%
Mateo Chavez o0.51.201.04 Oddschecker
-12.5%
Erik Lira o0.51.271.09 Oddschecker
-12.9%
Nilson Angulo o0.51.411.09 Oddschecker
-20.9%
Jesus Gallardo o0.51.481.09 Oddschecker
-24.0%
Alexis Vega o0.51.581.09 Oddschecker
-28.5%
Angelo Preciado o0.51.831.07 Oddschecker
-38.7%

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥13%

BESTEnner Valencia SOT1.80+30.4%
VALUEUnder 6.5 Corners3.10+19.5%
VALUEUnder 7.0 Corners2.88+16.5%
VALUEUnder 8.5 Corners1.73+14.8%
VALUEUnder 7.5 Corners2.20+13.3%