xOdds
World Cup · Match board

Brazil v Japan

Brazil
56%
Draw
22.3%
Japan
21.7%
Headline value
+85.9%
Over 0.5 · Goals
xG 1.91.1Brazil form LWLWWJapan form LWLDW

Model win probabilities from projected team xG (Poisson). No match-result price captured — edge shown where a price exists.

← Classic projections view

Markets

OutcomeFairBest← over · value →Edge
GoalsOver 0.51.0511.00 Oddschecker
+85.9%
GoalsOver 1.51.253.50 Oddschecker
+51.5%
CornersOver 9.51.382.88 Oddschecker
+37.6%
CornersOver 8.51.182.10 Oddschecker
+37.1%
CornersOver 9.01.382.50 Oddschecker
+32.5%
CornersOver 8.01.181.91 Oddschecker
+32.2%
CornersOver 7.51.091.62 Oddschecker
+30.1%
CornersOver 10.51.904.20 Oddschecker
+28.8%
CornersOver 7.01.091.50 Oddschecker
+25.5%
CornersOver 6.51.041.36 Oddschecker
+23.0%
CornersOver 10.01.943.50 Oddschecker
+23.0%
CornersOver 11.52.445.25 Oddschecker
+21.9%
CornersOver 11.02.415.00 Oddschecker
+21.5%
CornersOver 12.53.817.50 Oddschecker
+12.9%
CornersOver 12.03.847.50 Oddschecker
+12.7%
GoalsOver 2.51.732.20 Oddschecker
+12.2%
GoalsOver 3.52.834.00 Oddschecker
+10.3%
GoalsOver 4.55.418.00 Oddschecker
+6.0%
GoalsOver 5.511.9219.00 Oddschecker
+3.1%
GoalsOver 6.529.8441.00 Oddschecker
+0.9%
GoalsOver 7.584.0081.00 Oddschecker
-0.0%
GoalsOver 8.5262.9567.00 Oddschecker
-1.1%
GoalsUnder 0.520.0911.00 Oddschecker
-4.1%
GoalsUnder 5.51.091.04 Oddschecker
-4.5%
GoalsUnder 4.51.231.14 Oddschecker
-6.0%
GoalsUnder 1.55.023.75 Oddschecker
-6.8%
GoalsUnder 3.51.551.37 Oddschecker
-8.3%
GoalsUnder 2.52.361.91 Oddschecker
-10.1%
CornersUnder 12.51.361.17 Oddschecker
-12.0%
CornersUnder 6.527.555.00 Oddschecker
-16.4%
CornersUnder 11.51.691.30 Oddschecker
-17.9%
CornersUnder 7.027.034.33 Oddschecker
-19.4%
CornersUnder 10.52.111.47 Oddschecker
-20.6%
CornersUnder 12.01.681.22 Oddschecker
-22.2%
CornersUnder 7.512.473.25 Oddschecker
-22.8%
CornersUnder 11.02.091.36 Oddschecker
-25.6%
CornersUnder 8.012.662.88 Oddschecker
-26.9%
CornersUnder 8.56.532.30 Oddschecker
-28.2%
CornersUnder 9.53.621.75 Oddschecker
-29.5%
CornersUnder 10.03.591.67 Oddschecker
-32.2%
CornersUnder 9.06.622.10 Oddschecker
-32.5%
ResultBrazil win1.78 no price
ResultDraw4.49 no price
ResultJapan win4.61 no price
Cards — model coming. We don't show a fair number until the referee-adjusted model clears calibration.

Player props

SOT · 3 lines
Endrick o0.51.301.45 Oddschecker
+8.3%
Matheus Cunha o0.51.411.47 Oddschecker
+2.8%
Igor Thiago o0.51.561.50 Oddschecker
-2.7%
Tackles · 15 lines
Danilo da Silva o0.51.121.17 Oddschecker
+3.2%
Junnosuke Suzuki o0.51.051.07 Oddschecker
+2.0%
Casemiro o0.51.041.04 Oddschecker
-0.2%
Bruno Guimaraes o0.51.131.10 Oddschecker
-2.7%
Danilo dos Santos o0.51.121.09 Oddschecker
-2.8%
Lucas Paqueta o0.51.151.10 Oddschecker
-3.8%
Daichi Kamada o0.51.131.07 Oddschecker
-5.0%
Kaishu Sano o0.51.231.13 Oddschecker
-7.5%
Ao Tanaka o0.51.171.07 Oddschecker
-7.6%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe o0.51.261.09 Oddschecker
-12.5%
Yukinari Sugawara o0.51.341.09 Oddschecker
-17.1%
Ritsu Doan o0.51.401.09 Oddschecker
-20.0%
Roger Ibanez o0.51.581.17 Oddschecker
-22.5%
Fabinho o0.51.581.08 Oddschecker
-29.1%
Yuto Nagatomo o0.52.031.13 Oddschecker
-38.9%

Best picks · by edge · Best ≥25% / Value ≥13%

BESTOver 0.5 Goals11.00+85.9%
BESTOver 1.5 Goals3.50+51.5%
BESTOver 9.5 Corners2.88+37.6%
BESTOver 8.5 Corners2.10+37.1%
BESTOver 9.0 Corners2.50+32.5%
BESTOver 8.0 Corners1.91+32.2%
BESTOver 7.5 Corners1.62+30.1%
BESTOver 10.5 Corners4.20+28.8%
BESTOver 7.0 Corners1.50+25.5%
VALUEOver 6.5 Corners1.36+23.0%
VALUEOver 10.0 Corners3.50+23.0%
VALUEOver 11.5 Corners5.25+21.9%
VALUEOver 11.0 Corners5.00+21.5%
VALUEOver 12.5 Corners7.50+12.9%
VALUEOver 12.0 Corners7.50+12.7%